Quarterly Bulletin Q4 – 2018

By mid-December stock markets had become so volatile that the financial markets were under a cloud of fear. Despite a rally that began on Christmas Eve, the markets racked up record losses for the month of December and were down sharply for the year. At year end, the S&P/TSX composite total return index was down 5.4% on the month, and down 8.9% on the year. The bond markets were also buffeted from all sides.

Archives

2018

Even though the period was marked by an unusual combination of upward trends, on both the equity and bond markets, and by a remarkable about-face by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), the Amethyst Fund performed well at the start of the year. The Fund’s three segments were able to seize opportunities and deliver attractive […]

2017

In the fourth quarter, the economic and political news was marked by a synchronized global economic upsurge, rapidly expanding corporate profits, the adoption of a sweeping tax reform bill in the U.S. and somewhat eased geopolitical tensions.

2016

A multitude of risk factors have unsettled the markets during the first six months of the year.

2015

Fortunately, the North American economy continues the expansionary momentum en-joyed over the last 5 years. Despite some ambiguous data, the improving economic conditions are palpable. We do not see any signs of a pending recession, therefore North American equity markets should do well. The risks perceived by investors are related primarily to three concerns.

2014

Q3 2014 allowed some financial terms, absent from our lexicon for several years to resurface. Indeed, despite globalization which has been accelerating for decades, many economists and investors are now once again arguing in favor of the “decoupling” of economies to the benefit of the US and UK and to the detriment of Europe and […]

2013

QE = RT « Quantitative Easing = Risk Taking ». This seems to have been the magic formula in 2013, a remarkable year for risk as- sets, most notably for equi- ties and corporate bonds.